Under review at The Cryosphere, 2026
Citation: Pauling, A. G., I. J. Smith, T. Martin, J. K. Ridley, D. P. Stevens, M. Thomas, R. L. Beadling, C. Danek, T. Hattermann, Q. Li, J. Marshall, M. Muilwijk, A. Purich, and N. C. Swart "Antarctic sea ice response to meltwater due to Antarctic ice sheet mass loss in a multi-model ensemble" The Cryosphere. (under review)
Under review at Geophysical Research Letters, 2025
Citation: Radlwimmer, A. L., G. H. Leonard, A. G. Pauling, I. J. Smith, and F. Montiel. "Increasing Winter Storminess in the Southern Ross Sea, Antarctica" Geophysical Research Letters. (under review)
Submitted to AGU Advances, 2026
Citation: Jouet, O., C. Danek, J. Hauck, M. Hoppema, F. A. Haumann, T. Hattermann, M. Muilwijk, A. G. Pauling, N. C. Swart and C. Volker. "Impact of Antarctic freshwater release on the pre-industrial Southern Ocean carbon cycle: a coordinated Earth System Model inter-comparison" AGU Advances. (submitted)
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2026
Citation: Zhang, X., A. Purich, C. Deser, and A. G. Pauling. "Robust yet Diverse Tropical Responses to Antarctic Meltwater Across Models" Geophysical Research Letters. 53: e2025Gl120291 https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL120291
Published in The Cryosphere, 2026
Citation: Muilwijk, M., T. Hattermann, R. L. Beadling, N. C. Swart, A. Nummelin, C. Guo, D. M. Chandler, P. Langebroek, S. Zhou, P. Dutrieux, J.-J. Chen, C. Danek, M. H. England, S. M. Griffies, F. A. Haumann, A. Juling, O. Jouet, Q. Li, T. Martin, J. Marshall, A. G. Pauling, A. Purich, Z. Song, I. J. Smith, M. Thomas, I. Trombini, E. van der Linden, and X. Xu "Large Regional Differences in Antarctic Ice Shelf Mass Loss from Southern Ocean Warming and Meltwater Feedbacks" The Cryosphere. 18: 1087-1117 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1087-2026
Published in Geoscientific Model Development, 2025
Citation: Schmidt, G. A., K. D. Mankoff, J. L. Bamber, D. Carroll, D. M. Chandler, V. Coulon, B. J. Davison, M. H. England, P. R. Holland, N. C. Jourdain, Q. Li, J. M. Marson, P. Mathiot, C. R. McMahon, T. A. Moon, R. Mottram, S. Nowicki, A. O. Abello, A. G. Pauling, T. Rackow, and D. Ringeisen. "Datasets and protocols for including anomalous freshwater from melting ice sheets in climate simulations" Geoscientific Model Development. 18: 8333-8361 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-8333-2025
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2025
Citation: X. Xu, T. Martin, R. L. Beadling, J. Liu, S. Bischof, T. Hattermann, W. Huo, Q. Li, J. C. Marshall, M. Muilwijk, A. G. Pauling, A. Purich, I. J. Smith, N. C. Swart and M. Thomas. "Robustness and mechanisms of the atmospheric response over the Southern Ocean to idealized freshwater input around Antarctica" Geophysical Research Letters. 52: e2024GL113734 https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113734
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2025
Citation: A. G. Pauling, I. J. Smith, J. K. Ridley, T. Martin, M. Thomas and D. P. Stevens. "Impacts of Antarctic Meltwater on New Zealand Climate" Geophysical Research Letters. 52: e2024GL111047 https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111047
Published in AGU EOS, 2024
Citation: G. A. Schmidt, J. Arblaster, K. D. Mankoff, A. G. Pauling, and Qian Li, "Running a virtual global workshop" Eos. 105 https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EO240514
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2024
Citation: Armour, K. C., C. Proistocescu, Y. Dong, L. C. Hahn, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, A. G. Pauling, R. C. Jnglin Wills, T. Andrews, M. F. Stuecker, S. Po-Chedley, I. Mitevski, P. M. Forster, J. M. Gregory (2024). "Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed recent global warming and biased emergent constraints on climate sensitivity" Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 121(12): e2312093121 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.231209312
Published in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2024
Citation: Henn, B., Y. R. Jauregui, S. K. Clark, N. D. Brenowitz, J. McGibbon, O. Watt-Meyer, A. G. Pauling and C. S. Bretherton. "A machine learning parameterization of clouds in a coarse-resolution climate model for unbiased radiation" Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 16: e2023MS003949 https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003949
Published in New Zealand Science Review, 2024
Citation: Robinson, N. and C. Stevens, W. Rack, M. Bowen, R. Chapman, V. Cummings, S. Dean, D. Fernandez, L. Keller, A. McDonald, A. Pauling, B. van Uitregt. "The 2023 Aotearoa New Zealand Sea Ice Emergency Summit" New Zealand Science Review. 79: ASAP https://doi.org/10.26686/nzsr.v79.8461
Published in Geoscientific Model Development, 2023
Citation: Swart, N. C., T. Martin, R. Beadling, J.-J. Chen, M. H. England, R. Farneti, S. M. Griffies, T. Hattermann, F. A. Haumann, Q. Li, J. Marshall, M. Muilwijk, A. G. Pauling, A. Purich, I. J. Smith, and M. Thomas (2023). "The Southern Ocean Freshwater Input from Antarctica (SOFIA) Initiative: Scientific objectives and experimental design" Geoscientific Model Development. 16: 7289-7309 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7289-2023
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2023
Citation: Chen, J.-J., N. C. Swart, R. Beadling, X. Cheng, T. Hattermann, A. Jüling, Q. Li, J. Marshall, T. Martin, M. Muilwijk, A. G. Pauling, A. Purich, I. J. Smith and M. Thomas. "Reduced Deep Convection and Bottom Water Formation Due to Antarctic Meltwater in a Multi-Model Ensemble" Geophysical Research Letters. 50: e2023GL106492 https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106492
Published in Journal of Climate, 2023
Citation: Pauling, A. G., C. M. Bitz and E. J. Steig (2023). "Linearity of the climate system response to raising and lowering West Antarctic and coastal Antarctic topography" Journal of Climate. 36: 6195-6212 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0416.1
Published in Journal of Climate, 2023
Citation: Duetsch, M., E. J. Steig, P. N. Blossey and A. G. Pauling (2023). " Response of water isotopes in precipitation to a collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in high-resolution simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting Model" Journal of Climate. 36: 5417-5430 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0647.1
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2023
Citation: Pauling, A. G., Cecilia M. Bitz and K. C. Armour (2023). "The climate response to the Mt Pinatubo eruption does not constrain climate sensitivity" Geophysical Research Letters. 50: e2023GL102946 https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL102946
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2022
Citation: Dong, Y., A. G. Pauling, S. Sadai and K. C. Armour (2022). "Antarctic ice-sheet meltwater reduces transient warming and climate sensitivity through the sea-surface temperature pattern effect" Geophysical Research Letters. 49(24): e2022GL101249 https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101249
Published in Earth's Future, 2021
Citation: Pauling, A. G., and C. M. Bitz (2021). " Arctic sea ice response to flooding of the snow layer in future warming scenarios" Earth's Future. 9(10): e2021EF002136 https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002136
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2021
Citation: Pauling, A. G., M. Bushuk, and C. M. Bitz (2021). "Robust inter-hemispheric asymmetry in the response to symmetric volcanic forcing in model large ensembles" Geophysical Research Letters. 48(9): e2021GL092558 https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL092558
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2020
Citation: Goursaud, S., M. Holloway, L. Sime, E. Wolff, P, Valdes, E. J. Steig, and A. G. Pauling (2020). "Antarctic Ice Sheet elevation impacts on water isotope recprds during the Last Interglacial" Geophysical Research Letters. 47: e2020GL091412 https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091412
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2020
Citation: Hahn, L. C., K. C. Armour, D. S. Battisti, A. Donohoe, A. G. Pauling, and C. M. Bitz (2020). "Antarctic Elevation Drives Hemispheric Asymmetry in Polar Lapse Rate Climatology and Feedback" Geophysical Research Letters. 47(16): e2020GL088965 https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088965
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2017
Citation: Pauling, A. G., I. J. Smith, P. J. Langhorne and C. M. Bitz (2017). "Time‐Dependent Freshwater Input From Ice Shelves: Impacts on Antarctic Sea Ice and the Southern Ocean in an Earth System Model" Geophysical Research Letters. 44(20): 10454-10461 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075017
Published in Journal of Climate, 2016
Citation: Pauling, A. G., C. M. Bitz, I. J. Smith and P. J. Langhorne (2016). "The response of the Southern Ocean and Antarctic sea ice to freshwater from ice shelves in an Earth system model" Journal of Climate. 29(5): 1655-1672 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0501.1
Published in Annals of Glaciology, 2015
Citation: Mager, S. M., G. H. Leonard, A. G. Pauling, and I. J. Smith (2015). "A framework for estimating anchor ice extent at potential formation sites in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica" Annals of Glaciology. 56(69): 394-404. https://doi.org/10.3189/2015AoG69A711
Published in Journal of Spatial Science, 2014
Citation: Leonard, G. H., S. M. Mager, A. G. Pauling, K. J. Hughes and I. J. Smith (2014). "Towards a process model for predicting potential anchor ice formation sites in coastal Antarctic waters" Journal of Spatial Science. 59(2): 297-312. https://doi.org/10.1080/14498596.2014.913271